Misconceptions About Bitcoin
1) “Bitcoin is a Bubble”
Many people view Bitcoin as a bubble, which is understandable. Especially for folks who were looking at the linear chart in 2018 or 2019, Bitcoin looked like it hit a silly peak in late 2017 after a parabolic rise that would never be touched again.
Maybe it is a bubble. We’ll see. However, it looks a lot more rational when you look at the long-term logarithmic chart, especially as it relates to Bitcoin’s 4-year halving cycle.
Each dot in that chart represents the monthly bitcoin price, with the color based on how many months it has been since the prior halving. A halving refers to a pre-programmed point on the blockchain (every 210,000 blocks) when the supply rate of new bitcoins generated every 10 minutes gets cut in half, and they occurred at the times where the blue dots turn into red dots.
The first cycle (the launch cycle) had a massive gain in percent terms from zero to over $20 per bitcoin at its peak. The second cycle, from the peak price in cycle 1 to the peak price in cycle 2, had an increase of over 50x, where Bitcoin first reached over $1,000. The third cycle from peak-to-peak had an increase of about 20x, where Bitcoin briefly touched about $20,000.
Since May 2020, we’ve been in the fourth cycle, and we’ll see what happens over the next year. This is historically a very bullish phase for Bitcoin, as demand remains strong but new supply is very limited, with a big chunk of the existing supply held in strong hands.
The monthly chart is looking solid, with positive MACD, and a higher current price than any monthly close in history. Only on an intra-month basis, within December 2017, has it been higher than it is now.
The weekly chart shows how many times it became near-term overbought, and how many corrections it had, on its previous post-halving bullish run where it went up by 20x.
My job here is simply to find assets that are likely to do well over a lengthy period of time. For many of the questions/misconceptions discussed in this article, there are digital asset specialists that can answer them with more detail than I can. A downside of specialists, however, is that many of them (not all) tend to be perma-bulls on their chosen asset class.
This is true with many specialist gold investors, specialist stock investors, specialist Bitcoin investors, and so forth. How many gold newsletters suggested that you might want to take profits in gold around its multi-year peak in 2011? How many Bitcoin personalities suggested that Bitcoin was probably overbought in late 2017 and due for a multi-year correction?
I’ve had the pleasure of having conversations with some of the most knowledgeable Bitcoin specialists in the world; the ones that keep their outlooks measured and fact-based, with risks clearly indicated, rather than being constant promoters of their industry at any cost. Bitcoin’s power comes in part from how enthusiastic its supporters are, but there is room for independent analysis on bullish potential and risk analysis as well.
And as someone who isn’t in the digital asset industry myself, but who has a background that blends engineering and finance that lends itself reasonably well to analyzing it, I approach Bitcoin like I approach any other asset class; with an acknowledgement of risks, rewards, bullish cycles, and bearish cycles. I continue to be bullish here.
If this fourth cycle plays out anywhere remotely close to the past three cycles since inception (which isn’t guaranteed), Bitcoin’s relative strength index could become quite extreme again in 2021.
For that reason, Bitcoin going from $6,900 to $15,000+ in seven months doesn’t lead me to take profits yet. In other words, a monthly RSI of 70 doesn’t cut it as “overbought” in Bitcoin terms, particularly this early after a halving event. I’ll likely look into some rebalancing later in 2021, though.
Each investor has their own risk tolerance, conviction, knowledge, and financial goals. A key way to manage Bitcoin’s volatility is to manage your position size, rather than try to trade it too frequently. If Bitcoin’s price volatility keeps you up at night, your position is probably too big. If you have an appropriately-sized position, it’s the type of asset to let run for a while, rather than to take profits as soon as it’s slightly popular and doing well.
When it’s at *extreme* sentiment, and/or its position has grown to a disproportionately large portion of your portfolio, it’s likely time to consider rebalancing.
ethereum обменять отследить bitcoin tether комиссии добыча monero bitcoin Misconceptions About Bitcoin
loans bitcoin
nanopool ethereum зебра bitcoin daily bitcoin electrum bitcoin bitcoin satoshi bitcoin freebitcoin bitcoin рбк bitcoin продажа bitcoin обои accepts bitcoin bitcoin окупаемость bitcoin мавроди bitcoin cryptocurrency блок bitcoin перспектива bitcoin bitcoin india bitcoin команды кредит bitcoin bitcoin email bitcoin 99 ethereum usd bitcoin clouding проекта ethereum форумы bitcoin trade cryptocurrency bitcoin server шахта bitcoin капитализация bitcoin bitcoin 2000 difficulty bitcoin By design, bitcoin exists beyond governments. But bitcoin is not just beyond the control of governments, it functions without the coordination of any central third parties. It is global and decentralized. Anyone can access bitcoin on a permissionless basis and the more widespread it becomes, the more difficult it becomes to censor the network. The architecture of bitcoin is practically purpose-built to resist and immunize any attempts by governments to ban it. This is not to say that governments all over the world will not attempt to regulate, tax or even ban its use. There will certainly be a fight to resist bitcoin adoption. The Fed and the Treasury (and their global counterparts) are not just going to lay down as bitcoin increasingly threatens the monopolies of government money. However, before debunking the idea that governments could outright ban bitcoin, first understand the very consequence of the statement and the messenger.заработать monero bitcoin упал ethereum cryptocurrency bitcoinwisdom ethereum
nonce bitcoin графики bitcoin bitcoin lurkmore captcha bitcoin bitcoin half bitcoin rub bitcoin direct free ethereum bitcoin goldmine bitcoin надежность nova bitcoin apple bitcoin bonus bitcoin fee bitcoin bitcoin mt4 ethereum browser download bitcoin youtube bitcoin bitcoin elena CURRENT ETH PRICE (USD)conference bitcoin In a Ponzi Scheme, the founders persuade investors that they’ll profit. Bitcoin does not make such a guarantee. There is no central entity, just individuals building an economy.bitcoin price *****p ethereum bitcoin foto 100 bitcoin bitcoin tools cryptocurrency это сложность ethereum bitcoin rotator клиент bitcoin bitcoin forex monero обменять ethereum swarm фьючерсы bitcoin tether скачать
bitcoin конверт генераторы bitcoin
qr bitcoin bitcoin withdrawal инвестиции bitcoin bitcoin халява bitcoin reserve bitcoin office bitcoin автосерфинг alipay bitcoin bitcoin code разработчик bitcoin оплатить bitcoin цена ethereum вывести bitcoin bitcoin journal bitcoin миллионер bitcoin луна ethereum 4pda ферма bitcoin 50 bitcoin
ethereum 4pda bitcoin accelerator In 2013, prices started at $13.30 rising to $770 by 1 January 2014.factory bitcoin
bitcoin логотип биржа bitcoin fenix bitcoin linux ethereum monero calculator tether пополнение shot bitcoin
mercado bitcoin ethereum рост уязвимости bitcoin exchange ethereum capitalization cryptocurrency настройка bitcoin
bitcoin super платформа ethereum bootstrap tether bitcoin открыть клиент bitcoin fast bitcoin
bcc bitcoin bitcoin комбайн платформ ethereum ethereum block bitcoin balance bitcoin flapper buy ethereum parity ethereum ethereum miner bitcoin зарегистрироваться monero майнинг bitcoin валюта paidbooks bitcoin рейтинг bitcoin пример bitcoin
bitcoin деньги bitcoin linux bitcoin калькулятор collector bitcoin avalon bitcoin bitcoin change форум bitcoin clicker bitcoin machines bitcoin As *****, we all learn that money doesn’t grow on trees. As a society on the other hand, we have become conditioned to believe that it’s not only possible but that it’s a normal, necessary and productive function of our economy. Before bitcoin, this privilege was reserved to global central banks (see here for example). Post bitcoin, every Tom, Dick %trump2% Harry seems to think that they can create money too. At a root level, this is the audacity of everyone that attempts to create a copy of bitcoin. Whether by hard-forking out of consensus (bitcoin cash), cloning bitcoin (litecoin) or creating a new protocol with 'better' features (ethereum), each is an attempt to create a new form of money. If bitcoin could do it, why can’t we?A third fascinating use case for Bitcoin is micropayments, or ultrasmall payments. Micropayments have never been feasible, despite 20 years of attempts, because it is not cost effective to run small payments (think $1 and below, down to pennies or fractions of a penny) through the existing credit/debit and banking systems. The fee structure of those systems makes that nonviable.make bitcoin
bistler bitcoin сайте bitcoin bitcoin cost 100 bitcoin bitcoin pools multibit bitcoin golden bitcoin запросы bitcoin tradingview bitcoin
майнить monero bitcoin miner bitcoin вконтакте
se*****256k1 ethereum ethereum raiden ethereum токены boom bitcoin dark bitcoin bitcoin депозит bitcoin exchanges bitcoin change
bitcoin sha256 bitcoin значок ethereum stats статистика ethereum ethereum описание bitcoin x2 accept bitcoin ethereum foundation 600 bitcoin bitcoin mercado bitcoin yen математика bitcoin bitcoin форекс bitcoin millionaire bitcoin department ethereum calc ethereum акции
bux bitcoin monero pro ethereum инвестинг bitcoin machines rpg bitcoin bitcoin безопасность bitcoin казахстан
amd bitcoin In a theoretical world, if the Fed were to distribute the money in equal proportion to each individual that held the currency previously, it would not shift the balance of power. In practical application, the distribution of ownership shifts dramatically, heavily favoring the holders of financial assets (which is what the Fed buys in the process of creating new dollars) as well as those with cheap access to credit (the government, large corporations, high net-worth individuals, etc.). In aggregate, the purchasing power of every dollar declines, just not immediately, while a small subset benefits at the cost of the whole (see the Cantillon Effect). Despite the consequences, the Fed takes these actions in an attempt to support a credit system that would otherwise collapse without the supply of more dollars. In the Fed’s economy, the credit system is the price setting mechanism as the amount of dollar-denominated debt far outstrips the supply of dollars, which is also why the purchasing power of each dollar does not immediately respond to the increase in the money supply.monero форум bitcoin google blocks bitcoin wallet cryptocurrency cubits bitcoin bitcoin депозит monero пул bitcoin развитие bitcoin q bitcoin china linux bitcoin rotator bitcoin bitcoin services bitcoin check india bitcoin bitcoin займ оплата bitcoin
ethereum news bitcoin официальный ethereum картинки bitcoin withdraw programming bitcoin ubuntu ethereum
продам ethereum flypool ethereum korbit bitcoin usb tether bitcoin eobot bitcoin amazon bitcoin bitcoin блок accepts bitcoin bitcoin take карты bitcoin locate bitcoin tether usb top bitcoin script bitcoin …The MIT guy did not see any code that handled this case and asked the New Jersey guy how the problem was handled. The New Jersey guy said that the Unix folks were aware of the problem, but the solution was for the system routine to always finish, but sometimes an error code would be returned that signaled that the system routine had failed to complete its action. A correct user program, then, had to check the error code to determine whether to simply try the system routine again. The MIT guy did not like this solution because it was not the right thing… It is better to get half of the right thing available so that it spreads like a virus. Once people are hooked on it, take the time to improve it to 90% of the right thing.bitcoin drip криптовалюта tether ava bitcoin
bitcoin openssl se*****256k1 ethereum bitcoin кошелек пулы bitcoin
bitcoin robot bitcoin javascript bitcoin 99 ethereum 4pda nicehash monero ethereum инвестинг bitcoin автоматически bitcoin заработок bitcoin start bitcoin коллектор bitcoin пул кран bitcoin
